Rubicon Deep-Dive
LUPIN · NSE · Mumbai

Lupin

Turnaround driven by US complex generics (gSpiriva/Tiotropium, Albuterol) and an India chronic franchise; margin recovery on cost discipline and complex launches.

Reported data + modeled fieldsDiversified
What this shows

A full research profile for one company — what it does, how its financials have trended, how the market values it, and a balanced bull/bear/base investment memo.

How to use it

Scan the top row for the headline numbers, read the charts for trends, check the three gauge scores, then read the auto-generated memo at the bottom. Sources for every figure are linked at the very bottom.

Key terms
EBITDA
Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation & amortisation — a proxy for operating cash profit.
PAT
Profit After Tax — the bottom-line net profit.
FCF
Free Cash Flow — cash left after running the business and capital spending.
ANDA
Abbreviated New Drug Application — the US FDA filing to sell a generic drug.
Market Cap
₹1.0L Cr
Revenue
₹22.7K Cr
+25.0%5Y CAGR
EBITDA Margin
23%
ROCE
30.3%
P/E
18x
12.0x EV/EBITDA
5Y Return
+25%

Revenue

₹ crore · FY

EBITDA

₹ crore · FY

Margins

EBITDA & PAT margin %

R&D Spend

₹ crore · FY

Free Cash Flow

₹ crore · FY

Revenue Mix

By geography / segment

Quality Score

Growth Score

Regulatory Risk

Snapshot

Sub-segmentUS Complex Generics + India
Facilities15
D/E0.10
R&D % sales8.2%
ANDAs filed / appr.441 / 340
FDA observations5

Business Model

How the company makes money

US generics with complex inhalation/injectables push, India branded, biosimilars, API.

Growth driver

US complex inhalation + margin normalization

Primary risk

High US competitive intensity & R&D payback

Peer Group

Click to compare

PeerRev CAGREBITDA%ROCEP/E
Lupin25%23%30.3%18x
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries22%29%20.5%35x
Dr. Reddy's Laboratories4%26%13.6%25x
Cipla7%26%23%29x
Aurobindo Pharma8%20%13%23x
Alembic Pharmaceuticals-5%15.2%13%20x

Investment Memo

Auto-generated from the data layer — illustrative, not advice

Bull case
  • US complex inhalation + margin normalization underpins a 25% 5Y revenue CAGR.
  • Operating leverage as scale builds toward higher margins (currently 23% EBITDA).
  • Clean balance sheet (D/E 0.10) funds growth internally.
Bear case
  • High US competitive intensity & R&D payback.
  • ~36% US exposure leaves earnings sensitive to price erosion and FDA action.
  • Re-rating depends on proving R&D/return discipline.
Base case

Lupin screens as a improving diversified franchise. With revenue of ₹22.7K Cr growing ~25% and 23% EBITDA margins, the base case is steady compounding driven by us complex inhalation + margin normalization, while watching high us competitive intensity & r&d payback.

Valuation view

Trades at 18x P/E, 12.0x EV/EBITDA and 4.6x P/B. Reasonable versus growth — re-rating optionality if execution improves.

What to track
  • 1 USFDA facility status & ANDA approval cadence
  • 2 Gross-margin trajectory & new-launch contribution
  • 3 R&D productivity (filings/approvals per ₹ of R&D)
  • 4 Capital allocation — capex payback & M&A discipline
Sources & provenance · FY25 / mid-2026

ANDA cumulative 441 filed / 340 approved (Mar-2025, reported). FY25 P/E low on strong earnings rebound.